Tell whether a shift in your market is a dip or the real thing
something in your market has changed, the numbers are down, and the people around you disagree about whether it's temporary or structural.
Built on
Andrew S. Grove · 1996
Supplies the test: a strategic inflection point is a 10X change that looks like noise from inside. Ask Grove and Moore's question: what would a new CEO do?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb · 2012
Supplies the response when you can't be sure: a barbell. Protect a safe core, run small bets with capped downside, and don't swap one big fragile bet for another.
The prompt
My situation: [describe what changed, what the numbers show, the competing views inside the business, and what each view wants to do]
Use Only the Paranoid Survive by Andrew S. Grove (1996) and Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2012) to help.
Recall any details from the whole book that help, including names, numbers, scenes, or cases that are not the most famous chapter titles.
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